Cautious. Hayward's mid-cycle value characteristics (53 Value Score) and modest 18.7× P/E offer limited margin of safety, while growth remains tepid at 50/100. The core vulnerability is distributor concentration risk: ~80% of U.S. residential pool equipment flows through three major chains (Pool Corp, Heritage, Baystate), giving Hayward minimal pricing power and high churn exposure. Leadership alignment (61/100) is adequate but not differentiated. Suitable for patient holders; new capital requir
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Stocky rates HAYW (HAYW) at 53/100 — below the bar Stocky looks for. The score fuses business quality, moat width, leadership alignment, valuation and analyst signal into a single number. Cautious. Hayward's mid-cycle value characteristics (53 Value Score) and modest 18.7× P/E offer limited margin of safety, while growth remains tepid at 50/100. The core vulnerability is distributor concentration risk: ~80% of U.S. resid
HAYW's current Stocky Verdict is 53/100, placing it in the "Cautious" band. This composite combines a 53/100 Compounder score, 61/100 Leadership, Moat rating, and analyst signal.
Stocky hasn't finalised a Moat Score for HAYW yet — the analysis draws from ROIC trends, pricing power evidence, and competitive-position filings.
HAYW scores 61/100 on Leadership Alignment. Higher = more founder involvement, higher insider ownership, sensible pay, and evidence of long-term capital allocation discipline.
HAYW's Vulnerability Profile scores 50/100 (higher = more resilient). The profile flags customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls and regulatory risks specific to HAYW.
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