Cautious. Ferguson trades at 22.6× forward earnings with balanced compounder scores (44 growth, 47 value), offering neither compelling growth nor deep value appeal. Leadership alignment is moderate (65.8/100), and the business faces material concentration risk—95% U.S. revenue exposure and 37,000 global suppliers create vulnerability to domestic economic slowdowns and supply chain disruption. Suitable for patient holders with conviction in industrial distribution, not growth or value seekers.
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Stocky rates FERG (FERG) at 51/100 — below the bar Stocky looks for. The score fuses business quality, moat width, leadership alignment, valuation and analyst signal into a single number. Cautious. Ferguson trades at 22.6× forward earnings with balanced compounder scores (44 growth, 47 value), offering neither compelling growth nor deep value appeal. Leadership alignment is moderate (65.8/100), and the business faces materia
FERG's current Stocky Verdict is 51/100, placing it in the "Cautious" band. This composite combines a 47/100 Compounder score, 66/100 Leadership, Moat rating, and analyst signal.
Stocky hasn't finalised a Moat Score for FERG yet — the analysis draws from ROIC trends, pricing power evidence, and competitive-position filings.
FERG scores 66/100 on Leadership Alignment. Higher = more founder involvement, higher insider ownership, sensible pay, and evidence of long-term capital allocation discipline.
FERG's Vulnerability Profile scores 50/100 (higher = more resilient). The profile flags customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls and regulatory risks specific to FERG.
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