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Try Stocky free →Cautious. CoreCivic's 19.4× forward P/E overstates modest fundamentals (45 Growth Score, 40 Value Score), while leadership alignment is mixed (63.8/100)—no founder-CEO anchor. The core structural risk: 35% revenue tied to ICE and 18% to USMS creates acute political/policy dependency, despite near-term demand tailwinds from the Laken Riley Act. Adequate moat, but headline risk outweighs valuation discipline.
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Stocky rates CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) at 40/100 — below the bar Stocky looks for. The score fuses business quality, moat width, leadership alignment, valuation and analyst signal into a single number. Cautious. CoreCivic's 19.4× forward P/E overstates modest fundamentals (45 Growth Score, 40 Value Score), while leadership alignment is mixed (63.8/100)—no founder-CEO anchor. The core structural risk: 35% revenue tied to ICE and 18% to
CXW's current Stocky Verdict is 40/100, placing it in the "Cautious" band. This composite combines a 45/100 Compounder score, 64/100 Leadership, Moat rating, and analyst signal.
Stocky hasn't finalised a Moat Score for CoreCivic, Inc. yet — the analysis draws from ROIC trends, pricing power evidence, and competitive-position filings.
CoreCivic, Inc. scores 64/100 on Leadership Alignment. Higher = more founder involvement, higher insider ownership, sensible pay, and evidence of long-term capital allocation discipline.
CoreCivic, Inc.'s Vulnerability Profile scores 33/100 (higher = more resilient). The profile flags customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls and regulatory risks specific to CoreCivic, Inc..
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