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Try Stocky free →Cautious. AAON's 51/100 Growth Compounder Score reflects solid mid-20s revenue expansion in HVAC, but a 30.4× forward P/E demands flawless execution. Leadership alignment is moderate (63/100)—founder-led but not exceptional—while the $1.8B backlog carries material termination risk and exclusive distributor poaching by rivals expose the business to channel concentration, a structural vulnerability that justifies caution despite a resilient competitive position.
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Stocky rates AAON (AAON) at 41/100 — below the bar Stocky looks for. The score fuses business quality, moat width, leadership alignment, valuation and analyst signal into a single number. Cautious. AAON's 51/100 Growth Compounder Score reflects solid mid-20s revenue expansion in HVAC, but a 30.4× forward P/E demands flawless execution. Leadership alignment is moderate (63/100)—founder-led but not exceptional—while the $1
AAON's current Stocky Verdict is 41/100, placing it in the "Cautious" band. This composite combines a 51/100 Compounder score, 63/100 Leadership, Moat rating, and analyst signal.
Stocky hasn't finalised a Moat Score for AAON yet — the analysis draws from ROIC trends, pricing power evidence, and competitive-position filings.
AAON scores 63/100 on Leadership Alignment. Higher = more founder involvement, higher insider ownership, sensible pay, and evidence of long-term capital allocation discipline.
AAON's Vulnerability Profile scores 17/100 (higher = more resilient). The profile flags customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls and regulatory risks specific to AAON.
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