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Try Stocky free →Avoid. While Upstart trades at a reasonable 9.2× forward P/E and leadership alignment is solid (72.3/100), the Growth Compounder Score of 43.2 reflects slowing revenue momentum insufficient to justify equity ownership. The critical vulnerability: lending partner concentration—a handful of partners drive material originations—creates revenue cliff risk if any exit, and institutional capital access constraints limit scaling optionality. Valuation compression reflects these structural headwinds.
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Stocky rates UPST (UPST) at 32/100 — an Avoid — fundamentals or risks are too weak. The score fuses business quality, moat width, leadership alignment, valuation and analyst signal into a single number. Avoid. While Upstart trades at a reasonable 9.2× forward P/E and leadership alignment is solid (72.3/100), the Growth Compounder Score of 43.2 reflects slowing revenue momentum insufficient to justify equity ownership. The critical vulnerab
UPST's current Stocky Verdict is 32/100, placing it in the "Avoid" band. This composite combines a 30/100 Compounder score, 72/100 Leadership, Moat rating, and analyst signal.
Stocky hasn't finalised a Moat Score for UPST yet — the analysis draws from ROIC trends, pricing power evidence, and competitive-position filings.
UPST scores 72/100 on Leadership Alignment. Higher = more founder involvement, higher insider ownership, sensible pay, and evidence of long-term capital allocation discipline.
UPST's Vulnerability Profile scores 17/100 (higher = more resilient). The profile flags customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls and regulatory risks specific to UPST.
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