Cautious. UNP trades at a fair 21.5× forward P/E with modest Value Compounder strength (61/100), but Growth Compounder Score of 48.4 signals limited expansion runway. Leadership Alignment is adequate (65.5/100), yet structural supply-chain vulnerabilities—reliance on two domestic locomotive suppliers and consolidating steel producers meeting rail specs—create meaningful discontinuation risk that offsets the railroad's otherwise stable cash generation.
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Stocky rates UNP (UNP) at 58/100 — below the bar Stocky looks for. The score fuses business quality, moat width, leadership alignment, valuation and analyst signal into a single number. Cautious. UNP trades at a fair 21.5× forward P/E with modest Value Compounder strength (61/100), but Growth Compounder Score of 48.4 signals limited expansion runway. Leadership Alignment is adequate (65.5/100), yet structural supply-chain
UNP's current Stocky Verdict is 58/100, placing it in the "Cautious" band. This composite combines a 61/100 Compounder score, 66/100 Leadership, Moat rating, and analyst signal.
Stocky hasn't finalised a Moat Score for UNP yet — the analysis draws from ROIC trends, pricing power evidence, and competitive-position filings.
UNP scores 66/100 on Leadership Alignment. Higher = more founder involvement, higher insider ownership, sensible pay, and evidence of long-term capital allocation discipline.
UNP's Vulnerability Profile scores 50/100 (higher = more resilient). The profile flags customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls and regulatory risks specific to UNP.
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