Cautious. UGP lacks the growth or profitability momentum to justify a margin of safety: 39.4 Growth Compounder and 41 Value Compounder scores reflect modest top-line expansion and unremarkable returns on capital. Leadership alignment is middling (59/100) with no founder-CEO or significant insider ownership signals. The Vulnerability Index shows adequate but thin financial buffers, leaving little room for operational missteps.
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Stocky rates UGP (UGP) at 47/100 — below the bar Stocky looks for. The score fuses business quality, moat width, leadership alignment, valuation and analyst signal into a single number. Cautious. UGP lacks the growth or profitability momentum to justify a margin of safety: 39.4 Growth Compounder and 41 Value Compounder scores reflect modest top-line expansion and unremarkable returns on capital. Leadership alignment is mid
UGP's current Stocky Verdict is 47/100, placing it in the "Cautious" band. This composite combines a 41/100 Compounder score, 59/100 Leadership, Moat rating, and analyst signal.
Stocky hasn't finalised a Moat Score for UGP yet — the analysis draws from ROIC trends, pricing power evidence, and competitive-position filings.
UGP scores 59/100 on Leadership Alignment. Higher = more founder involvement, higher insider ownership, sensible pay, and evidence of long-term capital allocation discipline.
UGP's Vulnerability Profile scores 50/100 (higher = more resilient). The profile flags customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls and regulatory risks specific to UGP.
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