NASDAQ · Stocky rates: Cautious

TPB

$84.99 ▲ +1.53% as of 6 Aug, 20:00

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54
/ 100
Neutral

What Stocky thinks

Cautious. TPB's 54 Growth Compounder Score reflects modest top-line momentum, but a 30.6x forward P/E prices in significant upside with limited margin of safety. Leadership alignment is middling (60/100)—no founder-CEO alignment signals noted. Key vulnerability: Swedish Match manufactures all U.S. loose-leaf tobacco under a ten-year renewable agreement, and RTI's exclusive Zig-Zag® distribution deal faces five-year renegotiation risk, creating supplier concentration and pricing exposure that cou

Compounder Score
54/100
Business quality — profitability, growth, capital efficiency.
Leadership Alignment
60/100
Founder-led, insider ownership, capital allocation history.
Vulnerability
50/100
Downside resilience — customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing risk.
Value Score
30/100
Valuation vs peers and history — is this a good price to pay?

What Stocky gives investors that other tools don't

Every stock is scored across six proprietary dimensions built for retail investors who want Buffett-quality analysis without a Bloomberg subscription. Here's the actual snapshot for TPB:

54
VERDICT

Stocky Verdict — one score, everything

Quality + moat + leadership + valuation + sentiment fused into a single 0–100 number. When you see 54/100, you know instantly whether to dig deeper or skip.

Rated
MOAT

Moat Score — is there a real edge?

Pricing power, switching costs, network effects, and 10-year ROIC data. Same framework Morningstar charges for — free inside Stocky.

60
LEADER

Leadership Alignment — is management on your side?

Founder tenure, insider ownership, CEO pay reasonableness, long-term value creation. Six factors, one score — turns "trust the CEO" into evidence.

50
RISK

Vulnerability Profile — what could break?

Customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls, regulatory exposure. Stocky maps knowable fragilities so you're never blindsided.

Elite
TRACK

Track Record — does the system work?

Every score backtested against real S&P 500 returns. See how "Elite" (90+ Verdict) picks have performed vs the index — no black boxes.

24/7
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TPB (TPB) — frequently asked

Is TPB (TPB) a good investment right now?

Stocky rates TPB (TPB) at 54/100 — below the bar Stocky looks for. The score fuses business quality, moat width, leadership alignment, valuation and analyst signal into a single number. Cautious. TPB's 54 Growth Compounder Score reflects modest top-line momentum, but a 30.6x forward P/E prices in significant upside with limited margin of safety. Leadership alignment is middling (60/100)—no founder-CEO alignment signals

What is TPB's Stocky Verdict?

TPB's current Stocky Verdict is 54/100, placing it in the "Cautious" band. This composite combines a 54/100 Compounder score, 60/100 Leadership, Moat rating, and analyst signal.

Does TPB have a competitive moat?

Stocky hasn't finalised a Moat Score for TPB yet — the analysis draws from ROIC trends, pricing power evidence, and competitive-position filings.

Is TPB's leadership aligned with shareholders?

TPB scores 60/100 on Leadership Alignment. Higher = more founder involvement, higher insider ownership, sensible pay, and evidence of long-term capital allocation discipline.

What are the biggest risks to TPB?

TPB's Vulnerability Profile scores 50/100 (higher = more resilient). The profile flags customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls and regulatory risks specific to TPB.

This is just the surface. See the whole picture on TPB.

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  • Every analyst covering TPB — full list with star ratings, price targets, historical hit-rate. Not just the top 3 you see above.
  • Full Vulnerability Profile — customer concentration, refinancing walls, stress-test scenarios (-20% revenue, +200bp rates) modelled specifically for TPB.
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STOCKY VERDICT
54
/ 100 · Neutral

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Stocky Verdict
A plain-English Buy / Hold / Sell score out of 100.
Compounder & Value scores
How strong the business is — and whether it looks cheap.
Interactive charts
1M to 5Y price history with company events plotted on it.
Top analyst targets
What the best-rated Wall Street analysts expect next.
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