Tokyo · Stocky rates: Cautious

HEADWATERS CO LTD (4011.T)

¥2,350.00 ▼ -2.81% as of 24 Aug, 13:20

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56
/ 100
Neutral

What Stocky thinks

Cautious. 4011.T shows modest growth credentials (61 Growth Compounder Score, driven by moderate revenue expansion) but lacks the profitability or capital efficiency typical of true compounders (30 Value score). Leadership alignment is mixed at 52/100—insufficient evidence of founder alignment or meaningful insider ownership concentration. At a 35× forward multiple, the stock prices in optimistic growth assumptions with limited margin of safety for investors.

Compounder Score
61/100
Business quality — profitability, growth, capital efficiency.
Leadership Alignment
52/100
Founder-led, insider ownership, capital allocation history.
Vulnerability
50/100
Downside resilience — customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing risk.
Value Score
31/100
Valuation vs peers and history — is this a good price to pay?

What Stocky gives investors that other tools don't

Every stock is scored across six proprietary dimensions built for retail investors who want Buffett-quality analysis without a Bloomberg subscription. Here's the actual snapshot for HEADWATERS CO LTD:

56
VERDICT

Stocky Verdict — one score, everything

Quality + moat + leadership + valuation + sentiment fused into a single 0–100 number. When you see 56/100, you know instantly whether to dig deeper or skip.

Rated
MOAT

Moat Score — is there a real edge?

Pricing power, switching costs, network effects, and 10-year ROIC data. Same framework Morningstar charges for — free inside Stocky.

52
LEADER

Leadership Alignment — is management on your side?

Founder tenure, insider ownership, CEO pay reasonableness, long-term value creation. Six factors, one score — turns "trust the CEO" into evidence.

50
RISK

Vulnerability Profile — what could break?

Customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls, regulatory exposure. Stocky maps knowable fragilities so you're never blindsided.

Elite
TRACK

Track Record — does the system work?

Every score backtested against real S&P 500 returns. See how "Elite" (90+ Verdict) picks have performed vs the index — no black boxes.

24/7
ALERTS

Alerts + Portfolio insights

Analyst target shifts, insider buys, big moves — plus a monthly Portfolio Health Report telling you what's actually driving your returns.

HEADWATERS CO LTD (4011.T) — frequently asked

Is HEADWATERS CO LTD (4011.T) a good investment right now?

Stocky rates HEADWATERS CO LTD (4011.T) at 56/100 — below the bar Stocky looks for. The score fuses business quality, moat width, leadership alignment, valuation and analyst signal into a single number. Cautious. 4011.T shows modest growth credentials (61 Growth Compounder Score, driven by moderate revenue expansion) but lacks the profitability or capital efficiency typical of true compounders (30 Value score). Leadership alignment is mixe

What is 4011.T's Stocky Verdict?

4011.T's current Stocky Verdict is 56/100, placing it in the "Cautious" band. This composite combines a 61/100 Compounder score, 52/100 Leadership, Moat rating, and analyst signal.

Does HEADWATERS CO LTD have a competitive moat?

Stocky hasn't finalised a Moat Score for HEADWATERS CO LTD yet — the analysis draws from ROIC trends, pricing power evidence, and competitive-position filings.

Is HEADWATERS CO LTD's leadership aligned with shareholders?

HEADWATERS CO LTD scores 52/100 on Leadership Alignment. Higher = more founder involvement, higher insider ownership, sensible pay, and evidence of long-term capital allocation discipline.

What are the biggest risks to 4011.T?

HEADWATERS CO LTD's Vulnerability Profile scores 50/100 (higher = more resilient). The profile flags customer concentration, supply chain, refinancing walls and regulatory risks specific to HEADWATERS CO LTD.

This is just the surface. See the whole picture on HEADWATERS CO LTD.

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  • Every analyst covering 4011.T — full list with star ratings, price targets, historical hit-rate. Not just the top 3 you see above.
  • Full Vulnerability Profile — customer concentration, refinancing walls, stress-test scenarios (-20% revenue, +200bp rates) modelled specifically for 4011.T.
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STOCKY VERDICT
56
/ 100 · Neutral

See HEADWATERS CO LTD the Stocky way

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Stocky Verdict
A plain-English Buy / Hold / Sell score out of 100.
Compounder & Value scores
How strong the business is — and whether it looks cheap.
Interactive charts
1M to 5Y price history with company events plotted on it.
Top analyst targets
What the best-rated Wall Street analysts expect next.
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